Blackjack Mistakes to Avoid
One of my first outings as a novice blackjack card counter was to Laughlin, Nevada, in the Spring of 1997.
I recall seeing a wager on a six-deck shoe game called the Super Sevens SUP7 side bet.
It paid whenever the first card dealt was a seven, with higher payouts for two or three sevens and suited hands.
This was my first experience with advantage play against a side bet.
I recall a hand when sevens were dealt around the table, missing me entirely.
I thought it was extinct.
But recently it has been popping up again.
A Google search shows three U.
SUP7 pays based on the number of sevens dealt to the player, starting with his first card.
Otherwise, it is simply a question of counting the number of sevens from there.
It should be intuitively obvious to the casual reader of this blog that SUP7 can be crushed by card counting.
No matter the edge the AP can get, super 4 progressive blackjack rules this austere limitation on wager size, SUP7 will never be a viable advantage play.
I expect that if SUP7 continues its comeback, the maximum wager will increase.
The following combinatorial analysis shows the edge when twenty non-7s are removed from the start of a fresh six-deck shoe: In this case, SUP7 gives an edge to the player of 0.
The probability that the first twenty cards in a fresh shoe are non-7s is 20.
It follows that about one-in-five shoes will give the AP an edge after about the second or third round.
That "rare shoe" back in Laughlin in 1997 was not so rare after all.
If the first nineteen cards in a super 4 progressive blackjack rules go here are non-7s, then the player has an edge of 0.
This situation occurs on 22.
At the eighteen card super 4 progressive blackjack rules, the house still has the edge.
I am going to forgo the usual EOR analysis for determining the card counting tags.
The previous combinatorial analysis corresponds to a true count of just under +4 using this card counting system.
The following table gives the results of a simulation of one billion 1,000,000,000 six-deck shoes, with the cut-card placed at 260 cards 52 cards from the end : As expected, this simulation gave a target true count super 4 progressive blackjack rules +4.
The win-rate of 8.
Only team play against the blackjack side bet gives a higher overall return.
To underscore the extraordinary vulnerability of SUP7 to card counting, I created a graph that plots the edge as a function of the true count.
The graph below was produced by a simulation of one billion 1,000,000,000 six-deck shoes, using the count system given above.
The horizontal axis corresponds to positive true counts.
The vertical super 4 progressive blackjack rules gives the approximate house edge at the given true count.
Note that for counts less than +4, the graph is below the axis, indicating a house-edge.
But, as the true count increases, the player-edge on SUP7 rises to extreme values.
At a true count of +29, https://krimket.com/blackjack/blackjack-2020-watch-online.html player-edge exceeds 100% over the house.
For completeness, here is the combinatorial analysis and card counting data for SUP7 when dealt from an eight-deck shoe.
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