The Truth about Backoffs as a Card Counter
If the three cards form a flush, straight, 213 blackjack explained or straight flush, the player wins.
In the original version, the payout for each of these was 9-to-1.
With this pay table, the game has a house edge of 3.
Recently, new pay tables have been introduced that have higher and greater volatility.
The point of attack I considered is to target flushes.
Any strong imbalance in the suits favors the player.
For example, consider a situation where there are 40 cards, 10 of each suit.
Now, take those same 40 cards, and assume they are distributed 15, 10, 10, 5.
Then the number of three-card flushes is 705.
The more unbalanced the distribution of suits, the more the edge swings towards the player.
To make use of this, it is necessary to keep track of the number of cards in each suit that remain in the shoe.
This can be accomplished by a team of counters, each keeping track of one of the suits or by a mentally gifted solo counter.
The counters then compute the difference between the most abundant and least abundant suits.
This difference is then turned into a true count, and if that true count is sufficiently large, the player has an edge.
I created a simulation to model using this system on article source six-deck shoe game dealt to 52 cards and simulated one hundred million 100,000,000 shoes.
This work showed that a counter can gain an edge 213 blackjack explained approximately 3.
The counter should make the 21+3 wager whenever casino blackjack true count is 8 or higher.
The average edge when the wager is made will be just over 5%.
The new pay tables were not evaluated.
As an experiment, I shuffled one click thousand 100,000 shoes and computed the edge at the point when there were 100 cards remaining in the shoe.
The result of this simulation was an average house edge of 3.
More interesting was that the standard deviation of the house edge was 3.
It follows that a player edge is 0.
Therefore, the player will have an edge on about 18.
The trick is knowing which ones.
My simulation gave a maximum player edge of 23.
There 213 blackjack explained two reasons that APs will not target 21+3 with this system.
The first is 213 blackjack explained complexity, the second is the low return.
However, there is another approach that may 213 blackjack explained significantly stronger.
Consider a shuffle tracking approach where a slug join. www 247 blackjack com like cards is identified that is either deficient in one suit or abundant in one suit.
In this case, by 213 blackjack explained that slug through a weak shuffle, the AP will have a good opportunity.
My knowledge of shuffle tracking is minimal.
I cannot say if this is an approach that has been used in practice.
Finally, I have not considered if the new pay tables have a similar vulnerability to the 9-to-1 pay table.
These players may be using a shuffle tracking approach.
These players may be using a approach.
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